Earnings Estimates

Analyst Ratings

Mean Recommendation:

3

Sell

Strong Buy

Available Measures

Reference Information -

Last Actual (FY0): 2.67
FY0 End Date: 10/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: 1.20
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: 14.23
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: 51.70
Yield (%): 1.76

Analyst Forecasts -

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 10/1/21 3.46 3.55 3.36 3.46 2 -- 1 --
Annual 10/1/20 3.21 3.25 3.14 3.22 5 1 4 -1.34
Annual 10/1/19 2.89 2.95 2.78 2.91 5 -- 4 -2.20
Quarterly 4/1/19 1.21 1.26 1.19 1.20 5 -- 5 -7.10
Quarterly 7/1/19 0.76 0.81 0.68 0.77 5 2 2 -0.26
Quarterly 10/1/19 0.42 0.44 0.39 0.42 4 2 2 6.02
Quarterly 1/1/20 0.57 0.59 0.54 0.58 3 1 1 1.17
Long Term Growth 19.50 19.50 19.50 19.50 1 -- -- --

Actuals -

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 10/1/18 2.67 2.69 -0.60
Annual 10/1/17 2.41 2.39 0.90
Annual 10/1/16 2.06 2.01 2.58
Quarterly 1/1/19 0.51 0.50 2.00
Quarterly 10/1/18 0.32 0.34 -4.48
Quarterly 7/1/18 0.68 0.66 2.51
Quarterly 4/1/18 1.20 1.18 1.41

Reference Information - Book Value Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 6.33
FY0 End Date: 10/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Book Value Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 10/1/21 8.83 8.83 8.83 8.83 1 -- 1 --
Annual 10/1/20 7.64 7.64 7.64 7.64 1 -- 1 --
Annual 10/1/19 6.89 6.89 6.89 6.89 1 -- 1 --
Quarterly 4/1/19 6.87 6.87 6.87 6.87 1 -- 1 --
Quarterly 7/1/19 7.08 7.08 7.08 7.08 1 -- 1 --
Quarterly 10/1/19 6.89 6.89 6.89 6.89 1 -- 1 --
Quarterly 1/1/20 6.85 6.85 6.85 6.85 1 -- 1 --

Actuals - Book Value Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 10/1/18 6.33 -- --
Annual 10/1/17 5.72 -- --
Annual 10/1/16 5.03 -- --
Quarterly 1/1/19 6.54 -- --
Quarterly 10/1/18 6.33 -- --
Quarterly 7/1/18 6.17 -- --
Quarterly 4/1/18 5.86 -- --

Reference Information - Cash Flow Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date:
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Cash Flow Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 10/1/21 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 10/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 10/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 4/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 7/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 10/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 1/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --

Actuals - Cash Flow Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --

Reference Information - Dividend Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 0.80
FY0 End Date: 10/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Dividend Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 10/1/21 4.80 4.80 4.80 4.80 1 1 -- --
Annual 10/1/20 1.05 1.20 0.90 1.05 2 -- -- --
Annual 10/1/19 2.85 4.80 0.90 2.85 2 -- -- --
Quarterly 4/1/19 1.20 1.20 1.20 1.20 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 7/1/19 1.20 1.20 1.20 1.20 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 10/1/19 1.20 1.20 1.20 1.20 1 -- -- --

Actuals - Dividend Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 10/1/18 0.80 -- --
Annual 10/1/17 0.73 -- --
Annual 10/1/16 0.60 -- --
Quarterly 10/1/18 0.20 -- --
Quarterly 7/1/18 0.20 -- --
Quarterly 4/1/18 0.20 -- --

Reference Information - EBIT

Last Actual (FY0): 373.09
FY0 End Date: 10/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - EBIT

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 10/1/21 475.50 489.00 462.00 475.50 2 1 1 -2.31
Annual 10/1/20 442.18 454.00 430.50 442.10 4 3 1 -0.08
Annual 10/1/19 397.00 408.00 382.50 398.75 4 1 3 -1.40
Quarterly 4/1/19 166.23 167.60 164.60 166.35 4 -- 4 -6.93
Quarterly 7/1/19 103.83 113.00 93.30 104.50 4 2 2 1.11
Quarterly 10/1/19 56.90 60.50 53.40 56.85 4 2 2 2.50
Quarterly 1/1/20 78.13 82.00 73.80 78.60 3 2 1 --

Actuals - EBIT

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 10/1/18 373.09 -- --
Annual 10/1/17 355.11 -- --
Annual 10/1/16 334.40 -- --
Quarterly 1/1/19 70.05 -- --
Quarterly 10/1/18 43.00 -- --
Quarterly 7/1/18 92.89 -- --
Quarterly 4/1/18 170.27 -- --

Reference Information - EBITDA

Last Actual (FY0): 434.36
FY0 End Date: 10/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - EBITDA

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 10/1/21 545.50 557.00 534.00 545.50 2 1 1 -0.30
Annual 10/1/20 532.26 624.19 497.50 515.60 5 3 2 4.35
Annual 10/1/19 464.96 480.70 446.50 468.90 5 2 3 -1.24
Quarterly 4/1/19 182.43 184.00 180.20 182.75 4 -- 4 --
Quarterly 7/1/19 118.90 129.00 109.30 118.65 4 1 3 -2.78
Quarterly 10/1/19 74.08 77.20 69.40 74.85 4 3 1 1.89
Quarterly 1/1/20 94.53 98.00 90.80 94.80 3 2 1 --

Actuals - EBITDA

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 10/1/18 434.36 -- --
Annual 10/1/17 420.10 -- --
Annual 10/1/16 398.49 -- --
Quarterly 1/1/19 85.64 -- --
Quarterly 10/1/18 62.37 -- --
Quarterly 7/1/18 104.66 -- --
Quarterly 4/1/18 185.19 -- --

Reference Information - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 2.50
FY0 End Date: 10/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 10/1/21 3.46 3.55 3.36 3.46 2 -- 1 --
Annual 10/1/20 3.22 3.25 3.14 3.24 4 1 3 -1.28
Annual 10/1/19 2.92 3.00 2.82 2.94 4 2 2 -0.43
Quarterly 4/1/19 1.20 1.21 1.19 1.20 5 -- 5 -7.74
Quarterly 7/1/19 0.75 0.81 0.68 0.75 5 2 3 -1.21
Quarterly 10/1/19 0.42 0.44 0.39 0.42 4 2 2 6.02
Quarterly 1/1/20 0.57 0.59 0.54 0.58 3 1 1 1.17

Actuals - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 10/1/18 2.50 -- --
Annual 10/1/17 2.41 -- --
Annual 10/1/16 2.06 -- --
Quarterly 1/1/19 0.55 -- --
Quarterly 10/1/18 0.36 -- --
Quarterly 7/1/18 0.73 -- --
Quarterly 4/1/18 1.21 -- --

Reference Information - Net Debt

Last Actual (FY0): 23.43
FY0 End Date: 10/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Net Debt

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 10/1/20 -324.60 -324.60 -324.60 -324.60 1 -- 1 --
Annual 10/1/19 -130.70 -130.70 -130.70 -130.70 1 -- 1 --

Actuals - Net Debt

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 10/1/18 23.43 61.00 -61.60

Reference Information - Net Income

Last Actual (FY0): 290.09
FY0 End Date: 10/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Net Income

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 10/1/21 371.45 383.00 359.90 371.45 2 1 1 0.20
Annual 10/1/20 345.83 355.00 336.50 345.90 4 2 1 -0.24
Annual 10/1/19 311.20 320.00 299.70 312.55 4 1 2 -1.00
Quarterly 4/1/19 132.23 138.80 129.40 130.35 4 -- 3 -3.12
Quarterly 7/1/19 81.13 88.00 73.00 81.75 4 1 2 -1.73
Quarterly 10/1/19 42.90 45.00 41.00 42.80 4 1 2 -1.05
Quarterly 1/1/20 62.80 64.00 61.60 62.80 2 1 -- --

Actuals - Net Income

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 10/1/18 290.09 -- --
Annual 10/1/17 267.72 -- --
Annual 10/1/16 230.99 -- --
Quarterly 1/1/19 55.18 -- --
Quarterly 10/1/18 34.21 -- --
Quarterly 7/1/18 73.48 -- --
Quarterly 4/1/18 130.25 -- --

Reference Information - Operating Profit

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date:
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Operating Profit

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 10/1/21 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 10/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 10/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 4/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 7/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 10/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 1/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --

Actuals - Operating Profit

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --

Reference Information - Return On Equity

Last Actual (FY0): 45.11
FY0 End Date: 10/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Return On Equity

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 10/1/21 40.50 40.50 40.50 40.50 1 -- 1 --
Annual 10/1/20 39.00 42.00 36.00 39.00 2 -- 1 --
Annual 10/1/19 42.00 43.30 40.70 42.00 2 -- 1 --
Quarterly 4/1/19 40.20 40.20 40.20 40.20 1 -- 1 --
Quarterly 7/1/19 40.80 40.80 40.80 40.80 1 -- 1 --
Quarterly 10/1/19 43.40 43.40 43.40 43.40 1 1 -- --
Quarterly 1/1/20 44.70 44.70 44.70 44.70 1 1 -- --

Actuals - Return On Equity

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 10/1/18 45.11 -- --
Annual 10/1/16 45.64 -- --
Quarterly 10/1/18 20.75 -- --
Quarterly 7/1/18 46.16 -- --
Quarterly 4/1/18 21.63 -- --

Reference Information - Sales

Last Actual (FY0): 2,618.65
FY0 End Date: 10/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Sales

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 10/1/21 3,091.50 3,118.00 3,065.00 3,091.50 2 2 -- 1.25
Annual 10/1/20 2,947.58 2,982.00 2,916.00 2,946.15 4 4 -- 1.51
Annual 10/1/19 2,806.33 2,852.00 2,766.00 2,803.65 4 4 -- 0.04
Quarterly 4/1/19 944.97 981.00 930.10 935.90 5 2 2 0.44
Quarterly 7/1/19 696.58 711.00 679.30 694.80 5 2 1 -0.21
Quarterly 10/1/19 557.63 569.50 548.20 556.40 4 1 2 -0.30
Quarterly 1/1/20 626.90 630.00 625.10 625.60 3 3 -- 3.98

Actuals - Sales

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 10/1/18 2,618.65 2,596.11 0.87
Annual 10/1/17 2,505.18 2,508.06 -0.11
Annual 10/1/16 2,392.18 2,401.45 -0.39
Quarterly 1/1/19 602.96 575.15 4.83
Quarterly 10/1/18 539.30 516.60 4.39
Quarterly 7/1/18 655.82 664.76 -1.34
Quarterly 4/1/18 875.28 901.26 -2.88

P/E Ratios

P/E Ratios Company Industry Ind. Relative
FY0 23.66 19.42 1.22
FY1 21.28 19.00 1.12
FY2 19.78 15.45 1.28

EPS Growth Rates

Growth Rates Company Industry Ind. Relative
FY1/FY0 8.16 -5.17 1.14
FY2/FY1 11.22 16.31 0.96
FY3/FY2 11.22 16.31 0.96

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