Earnings Estimates

Analyst Ratings

Mean Recommendation:

3

Sell

Strong Buy

Available Measures

Reference Information -

Last Actual (FY0): 2.41
FY0 End Date: 10/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: 1.20
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: 23.40
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: 75.51
Yield (%): 1.94

Analyst Forecasts -

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 10/1/20 3.38 3.40 3.36 3.38 2 2 -- 5.33
Annual 10/1/19 3.05 3.12 2.97 3.06 7 -- 2 0.23
Annual 10/1/18 2.71 2.73 2.69 2.71 6 -- 4 -0.62
Quarterly 7/1/18 0.66 0.67 0.65 0.67 6 -- 2 --
Quarterly 10/1/18 0.38 0.39 0.36 0.38 6 -- 1 --
Quarterly 1/1/19 0.54 0.60 0.51 0.54 5 -- 1 2.57
Quarterly 4/1/19 1.30 1.35 1.13 1.34 5 1 -- -3.24
Long Term Growth 19.50 19.50 19.50 19.50 1 -- -- --

Actuals -

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 10/1/17 2.41 2.39 0.90
Annual 10/1/16 2.06 2.01 2.58
Annual 10/1/15 1.78 1.76 0.85
Quarterly 4/1/18 1.20 1.18 1.41
Quarterly 1/1/18 0.48 0.44 8.68
Quarterly 10/1/17 0.31 0.29 8.77
Quarterly 7/1/17 0.61 0.57 6.48

Reference Information - Book Value Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 5.72
FY0 End Date: 10/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Book Value Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 10/1/20 8.07 8.07 8.07 8.07 1 1 -- --
Annual 10/1/19 6.97 6.97 6.97 6.97 1 1 -- --
Annual 10/1/18 6.11 6.11 6.11 6.11 1 -- 1 --
Quarterly 7/1/18 6.26 6.26 6.26 6.26 1 -- 1 --
Quarterly 10/1/18 6.11 6.11 6.11 6.11 1 -- 1 --
Quarterly 1/1/19 6.09 6.09 6.09 6.09 1 -- 1 --
Quarterly 4/1/19 6.89 6.89 6.89 6.89 1 -- 1 --

Actuals - Book Value Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 10/1/17 5.72 -- --
Annual 10/1/16 5.03 -- --
Annual 10/1/15 4.21 -- --
Quarterly 4/1/18 5.86 -- --
Quarterly 1/1/18 5.46 -- --
Quarterly 10/1/17 5.72 -- --
Quarterly 7/1/17 6.12 -- --

Reference Information - Cash Flow Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date:
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Cash Flow Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 10/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 10/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 10/1/18 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 7/1/18 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 10/1/18 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 1/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 4/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --

Actuals - Cash Flow Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --

Reference Information - Dividend Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 0.73
FY0 End Date: 10/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Dividend Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 10/1/20 1.20 1.20 1.20 1.20 1 -- -- --
Annual 10/1/19 1.20 1.20 1.20 1.20 1 -- -- --
Annual 10/1/18 1.20 1.20 1.20 1.20 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 7/1/18 0.30 0.30 0.30 0.30 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 10/1/18 0.30 0.30 0.30 0.30 1 -- -- --

Actuals - Dividend Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 10/1/17 0.73 -- --
Annual 10/1/16 0.60 -- --
Annual 10/1/15 0.50 -- --
Quarterly 1/1/18 0.20 -- --
Quarterly 10/1/17 0.20 -- --
Quarterly 7/1/17 0.18 -- --

Reference Information - EBIT

Last Actual (FY0): 355.11
FY0 End Date: 10/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - EBIT

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 10/1/20 460.65 468.30 453.00 460.65 2 -- 1 -0.08
Annual 10/1/19 423.36 426.70 420.00 423.00 5 -- 2 0.04
Annual 10/1/18 385.52 388.00 381.30 385.80 5 -- 3 -0.36
Quarterly 7/1/18 94.26 95.00 92.30 94.60 5 -- 2 -0.23
Quarterly 10/1/18 53.66 55.00 51.80 54.00 5 1 1 0.22
Quarterly 1/1/19 76.50 84.70 72.50 74.40 4 -- -- --
Quarterly 4/1/19 179.00 188.00 157.60 185.20 4 -- -- --

Actuals - EBIT

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 10/1/17 355.11 -- --
Annual 10/1/16 334.40 -- --
Annual 10/1/15 299.11 -- --
Quarterly 4/1/18 170.27 -- --
Quarterly 1/1/18 66.92 -- --
Quarterly 10/1/17 47.46 -- --
Quarterly 7/1/17 87.78 -- --

Reference Information - EBITDA

Last Actual (FY0): 420.10
FY0 End Date: 10/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - EBITDA

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 10/1/20 530.65 540.30 521.00 530.65 2 -- 1 -0.07
Annual 10/1/19 494.97 507.00 486.50 495.16 6 -- 2 --
Annual 10/1/18 453.28 473.80 445.33 449.80 6 -- 3 -0.73
Quarterly 7/1/18 111.92 117.40 109.20 111.00 5 -- 1 --
Quarterly 10/1/18 71.44 75.10 68.80 71.00 5 -- 1 --
Quarterly 1/1/19 90.47 91.50 88.90 91.00 3 -- -- --
Quarterly 4/1/19 202.83 207.00 199.00 202.50 3 -- -- --

Actuals - EBITDA

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 10/1/17 420.10 -- --
Annual 10/1/16 398.49 -- --
Annual 10/1/15 362.26 -- --
Quarterly 4/1/18 185.19 -- --
Quarterly 1/1/18 82.15 -- --
Quarterly 10/1/17 64.73 -- --
Quarterly 7/1/17 100.95 -- --

Reference Information - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 2.41
FY0 End Date: 10/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 10/1/20 3.38 3.40 3.36 3.38 2 2 -- 5.33
Annual 10/1/19 3.06 3.12 2.97 3.07 6 -- 1 --
Annual 10/1/18 2.47 2.60 2.42 2.45 7 -- 4 -0.46
Quarterly 7/1/18 0.66 0.67 0.65 0.66 5 -- 2 -0.30
Quarterly 10/1/18 0.37 0.38 0.36 0.38 5 -- 1 --
Quarterly 1/1/19 0.54 0.60 0.51 0.54 5 -- -- 2.11
Quarterly 4/1/19 1.30 1.35 1.13 1.34 5 -- -- -3.04

Actuals - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 10/1/17 2.41 -- --
Annual 10/1/16 2.06 -- --
Annual 10/1/15 1.78 -- --
Quarterly 4/1/18 1.21 -- --
Quarterly 1/1/18 0.21 -- --
Quarterly 10/1/17 0.31 -- --
Quarterly 7/1/17 0.61 -- --

Reference Information - Net Debt

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date:
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Net Debt

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 10/1/19 2.20 2.20 2.20 2.20 1 -- -- --
Annual 10/1/18 7.00 7.00 7.00 7.00 1 -- -- --

Actuals - Net Debt

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --

Reference Information - Net Income

Last Actual (FY0): 267.72
FY0 End Date: 10/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Net Income

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 10/1/20 355.90 360.80 351.00 355.90 2 -- 1 -0.07
Annual 10/1/19 327.70 332.80 324.60 325.10 5 -- 1 --
Annual 10/1/18 294.25 297.00 291.50 294.25 2 -- 1 -0.31
Quarterly 7/1/18 72.32 73.40 70.10 72.80 5 -- 1 --
Quarterly 10/1/18 40.74 42.00 39.10 40.80 5 -- 1 -1.52
Quarterly 1/1/19 59.05 65.30 55.60 57.65 4 -- -- --
Quarterly 4/1/19 138.60 145.80 122.10 143.25 4 -- -- --

Actuals - Net Income

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 10/1/17 267.72 -- --
Annual 10/1/16 230.99 -- --
Annual 10/1/15 201.59 -- --
Quarterly 4/1/18 130.25 -- --
Quarterly 1/1/18 52.14 -- --
Quarterly 10/1/17 33.85 -- --
Quarterly 7/1/17 68.40 -- --

Reference Information - Operating Profit

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date:
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Operating Profit

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 10/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 10/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 10/1/18 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 7/1/18 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 10/1/18 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 1/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 4/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --

Actuals - Operating Profit

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --

Reference Information - Return On Equity

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date:
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Return On Equity

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 10/1/20 42.10 42.10 42.10 42.10 1 1 -- --
Annual 10/1/19 41.60 41.60 41.60 41.60 1 -- -- --
Annual 10/1/18 42.00 42.00 42.00 42.00 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 7/1/18 43.80 43.80 43.80 43.80 1 1 -- --
Quarterly 10/1/18 46.20 46.20 46.20 46.20 1 1 -- --
Quarterly 1/1/19 4.75 4.75 4.75 4.75 1 1 -- --
Quarterly 4/1/19 43.70 43.70 43.70 43.70 1 1 -- --

Actuals - Return On Equity

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 10/1/16 45.64 -- --
Quarterly 1/1/18 8.71 -- --
Quarterly 10/1/17 21.20 -- --
Quarterly 7/1/17 43.17 -- --

Reference Information - Sales

Last Actual (FY0): 2,505.18
FY0 End Date: 10/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Sales

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 10/1/20 2,891.85 2,894.70 2,889.00 2,891.85 2 -- 1 -0.11
Annual 10/1/19 2,759.93 2,794.60 2,738.30 2,752.85 6 1 2 -0.16
Annual 10/1/18 2,618.09 2,643.80 2,596.77 2,615.32 6 -- 4 -0.60
Quarterly 7/1/18 660.28 662.90 656.51 660.65 6 3 -- 0.15
Quarterly 10/1/18 517.84 521.30 514.00 517.87 6 1 -- --
Quarterly 1/1/19 573.70 576.80 566.50 576.00 5 -- -- --
Quarterly 4/1/19 949.79 974.50 920.10 952.00 5 -- 1 -1.01

Actuals - Sales

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 10/1/17 2,505.18 2,508.06 -0.11
Annual 10/1/16 2,392.18 2,401.45 -0.39
Annual 10/1/15 2,390.88 2,379.96 0.46
Quarterly 4/1/18 875.28 901.26 -2.88
Quarterly 1/1/18 548.25 538.92 1.73
Quarterly 10/1/17 488.63 491.55 -0.60
Quarterly 7/1/17 627.94 628.08 -0.02

P/E Ratios

P/E Ratios Company Industry Ind. Relative
FY0 22.87 11.77 1.94
FY1 20.33 20.60 0.99
FY2 18.34 17.80 1.03

EPS Growth Rates

Growth Rates Company Industry Ind. Relative
FY1/FY0 12.45 28.28 0.88
FY2/FY1 12.49 11.76 1.01
FY3/FY2 12.49 11.76 1.01

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