Earnings Estimates

Analyst Ratings

Mean Recommendation:

3

Sell

Strong Buy

Available Measures

Reference Information -

Last Actual (FY0): 2.67
FY0 End Date: 10/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: 1.20
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: 28.37
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: 66.44
Yield (%): 2.12

Analyst Forecasts -

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 10/1/21 3.54 3.55 3.53 3.54 2 -- 2 --
Annual 10/1/20 3.24 3.26 3.21 3.25 5 -- 2 -1.69
Annual 10/1/19 2.95 2.98 2.92 2.95 5 -- 5 -2.17
Quarterly 1/1/19 0.50 0.52 0.48 0.51 4 -- 2 -4.48
Quarterly 4/1/19 1.30 1.32 1.29 1.30 4 -- 2 -2.69
Quarterly 7/1/19 0.76 0.77 0.73 0.76 4 2 -- 0.33
Quarterly 10/1/19 0.39 0.41 0.35 0.39 4 -- 3 -9.09
Long Term Growth 19.50 19.50 19.50 19.50 1 -- -- --

Actuals -

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 10/1/18 2.67 2.69 -0.60
Annual 10/1/17 2.41 2.39 0.90
Annual 10/1/16 2.06 2.01 2.58
Quarterly 10/1/18 0.32 0.34 -4.48
Quarterly 7/1/18 0.68 0.66 2.51
Quarterly 4/1/18 1.20 1.18 1.41
Quarterly 1/1/18 0.48 0.44 8.68

Reference Information - Book Value Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 6.35
FY0 End Date: 10/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Book Value Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 10/1/21 9.00 9.00 9.00 9.00 1 1 -- --
Annual 10/1/20 7.87 7.87 7.87 7.87 1 1 -- --
Annual 10/1/19 6.99 6.99 6.99 6.99 1 1 -- --
Quarterly 1/1/19 6.24 6.24 6.24 6.24 1 1 -- --
Quarterly 4/1/19 7.01 7.01 7.01 7.01 1 1 -- --
Quarterly 7/1/19 7.21 7.21 7.21 7.21 1 1 -- --
Quarterly 10/1/19 6.99 6.99 6.99 6.99 1 1 -- --

Actuals - Book Value Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 10/1/18 6.35 -- --
Annual 10/1/17 5.72 -- --
Annual 10/1/16 5.03 -- --
Quarterly 10/1/18 6.35 -- --
Quarterly 7/1/18 6.17 -- --
Quarterly 4/1/18 5.86 -- --
Quarterly 1/1/18 5.46 -- --

Reference Information - Cash Flow Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date:
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Cash Flow Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 10/1/21 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 10/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 10/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 1/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 4/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 7/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 10/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --

Actuals - Cash Flow Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --

Reference Information - Dividend Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 0.80
FY0 End Date: 10/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Dividend Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 10/1/21 4.80 4.80 4.80 4.80 1 1 -- --
Annual 10/1/20 1.20 1.20 1.20 1.20 1 -- -- --
Annual 10/1/19 4.80 4.80 4.80 4.80 1 1 -- --
Quarterly 1/1/19 1.20 1.20 1.20 1.20 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 4/1/19 1.20 1.20 1.20 1.20 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 7/1/19 1.20 1.20 1.20 1.20 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 10/1/19 1.20 1.20 1.20 1.20 1 -- -- --

Actuals - Dividend Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 10/1/18 0.80 -- --
Annual 10/1/17 0.73 -- --
Annual 10/1/16 0.60 -- --
Quarterly 10/1/18 0.20 -- --
Quarterly 7/1/18 0.20 -- --
Quarterly 4/1/18 0.20 -- --
Quarterly 1/1/18 0.20 -- --

Reference Information - EBIT

Last Actual (FY0): 373.09
FY0 End Date: 10/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - EBIT

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 10/1/21 477.00 484.00 470.00 477.00 2 -- 2 -2.52
Annual 10/1/20 439.53 444.60 435.00 439.00 3 -- 2 -2.45
Annual 10/1/19 401.10 405.30 398.00 400.00 3 -- 3 -3.73
Quarterly 1/1/19 67.47 68.90 65.50 68.00 3 -- 2 -8.25
Quarterly 4/1/19 179.20 181.00 177.80 178.80 3 1 1 -2.42
Quarterly 7/1/19 102.37 104.80 99.30 103.00 3 2 -- 0.46
Quarterly 10/1/19 52.00 55.20 48.00 52.80 3 -- 2 -10.26

Actuals - EBIT

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 10/1/18 373.09 -- --
Annual 10/1/17 355.11 -- --
Annual 10/1/16 334.40 -- --
Quarterly 10/1/18 43.00 -- --
Quarterly 7/1/18 92.89 -- --
Quarterly 4/1/18 170.27 -- --
Quarterly 1/1/18 66.92 -- --

Reference Information - EBITDA

Last Actual (FY0): 434.36
FY0 End Date: 10/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - EBITDA

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 10/1/21 547.10 556.20 538.00 547.10 2 1 1 -1.26
Annual 10/1/20 510.87 528.10 502.00 506.70 4 1 1 -0.77
Annual 10/1/19 472.02 488.80 462.00 468.65 4 2 2 -1.30
Quarterly 1/1/19 85.33 90.00 82.00 84.00 3 -- 1 -3.48
Quarterly 4/1/19 196.97 199.90 194.00 197.00 3 1 1 -0.93
Quarterly 7/1/19 119.80 125.40 115.00 119.00 3 2 -- 2.23
Quarterly 10/1/19 69.67 74.00 64.00 71.00 3 1 1 -4.16

Actuals - EBITDA

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 10/1/18 434.36 -- --
Annual 10/1/17 420.10 -- --
Annual 10/1/16 398.49 -- --
Quarterly 10/1/18 62.37 -- --
Quarterly 7/1/18 104.66 -- --
Quarterly 4/1/18 185.19 -- --
Quarterly 1/1/18 82.15 -- --

Reference Information - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 2.50
FY0 End Date: 10/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 10/1/21 3.54 3.55 3.53 3.54 2 -- 2 --
Annual 10/1/20 3.24 3.26 3.21 3.25 4 -- 2 -1.75
Annual 10/1/19 2.94 2.98 2.92 2.94 4 -- 4 -2.46
Quarterly 1/1/19 0.50 0.50 0.48 0.50 4 -- 3 -6.06
Quarterly 4/1/19 1.30 1.32 1.29 1.30 4 -- 2 -2.50
Quarterly 7/1/19 0.75 0.77 0.73 0.76 4 2 1 --
Quarterly 10/1/19 0.39 0.43 0.35 0.40 4 -- 2 -7.01

Actuals - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 10/1/18 2.50 -- --
Annual 10/1/17 2.41 -- --
Annual 10/1/16 2.06 -- --
Quarterly 10/1/18 0.36 -- --
Quarterly 7/1/18 0.73 -- --
Quarterly 4/1/18 1.21 -- --
Quarterly 1/1/18 0.21 -- --

Reference Information - Net Debt

Last Actual (FY0): 23.43
FY0 End Date: 10/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Net Debt

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 10/1/19 2.20 2.20 2.20 2.20 1 -- -- --

Actuals - Net Debt

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 10/1/18 23.43 61.00 -61.60

Reference Information - Net Income

Last Actual (FY0): 290.09
FY0 End Date: 10/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Net Income

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 10/1/21 370.70 377.40 364.00 370.70 2 -- 2 -2.41
Annual 10/1/20 342.93 347.80 338.00 343.00 3 -- 2 -1.83
Annual 10/1/19 314.47 315.80 312.60 315.00 3 -- 3 -2.33
Quarterly 1/1/19 53.80 56.00 52.00 53.40 3 -- -- -4.89
Quarterly 4/1/19 139.83 141.00 138.80 139.70 3 1 1 -1.41
Quarterly 7/1/19 80.20 82.60 78.00 80.00 3 2 -- 0.87
Quarterly 10/1/19 40.47 43.40 37.00 41.00 3 -- 2 -8.98

Actuals - Net Income

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 10/1/18 290.09 -- --
Annual 10/1/17 267.72 -- --
Annual 10/1/16 230.99 -- --
Quarterly 10/1/18 34.21 -- --
Quarterly 7/1/18 73.48 -- --
Quarterly 4/1/18 130.25 -- --
Quarterly 1/1/18 52.14 -- --

Reference Information - Operating Profit

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date:
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Operating Profit

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 10/1/21 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 10/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 10/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 1/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 4/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 7/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 10/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --

Actuals - Operating Profit

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --

Reference Information - Return On Equity

Last Actual (FY0): 45.11
FY0 End Date: 10/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Return On Equity

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 10/1/21 40.50 40.50 40.50 40.50 1 -- 1 --
Annual 10/1/20 42.00 42.00 42.00 42.00 1 -- 1 --
Annual 10/1/19 43.30 43.30 43.30 43.30 1 -- 1 --
Quarterly 1/1/19 44.60 44.60 44.60 44.60 1 -- 1 --
Quarterly 4/1/19 41.40 41.40 41.40 41.40 1 -- 1 --
Quarterly 7/1/19 41.40 41.40 41.40 41.40 1 -- 1 --
Quarterly 10/1/19 43.30 43.30 43.30 43.30 1 -- 1 --

Actuals - Return On Equity

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 10/1/18 45.11 -- --
Annual 10/1/16 45.64 -- --
Quarterly 10/1/18 20.75 -- --
Quarterly 7/1/18 46.16 -- --
Quarterly 4/1/18 21.63 -- --
Quarterly 1/1/18 8.71 -- --

Reference Information - Sales

Last Actual (FY0): 2,618.65
FY0 End Date: 10/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Sales

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 10/1/21 3,054.25 3,056.50 3,052.00 3,054.25 2 2 -- 1.63
Annual 10/1/20 2,907.08 2,923.10 2,886.02 2,909.60 4 1 -- 0.28
Annual 10/1/19 2,771.28 2,781.00 2,757.50 2,773.30 4 3 -- 0.89
Quarterly 1/1/19 576.45 581.08 571.00 576.85 4 1 1 0.41
Quarterly 4/1/19 944.74 968.00 930.10 940.42 4 3 -- 1.74
Quarterly 7/1/19 693.40 698.00 689.60 693.00 4 2 1 1.06
Quarterly 10/1/19 556.69 569.50 544.00 556.64 4 3 -- 2.83

Actuals - Sales

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 10/1/18 2,618.65 2,596.11 0.87
Annual 10/1/17 2,505.18 2,508.06 -0.11
Annual 10/1/16 2,392.18 2,401.45 -0.39
Quarterly 10/1/18 539.30 516.60 4.39
Quarterly 7/1/18 655.82 664.76 -1.34
Quarterly 4/1/18 875.28 901.26 -2.88
Quarterly 1/1/18 548.25 538.92 1.73

P/E Ratios

P/E Ratios Company Industry Ind. Relative
FY0 21.03 10.51 2.00
FY1 19.16 19.67 0.97
FY2 17.42 19.10 0.91

EPS Growth Rates

Growth Rates Company Industry Ind. Relative
FY1/FY0 11.45 19.64 0.93
FY2/FY1 9.75 -2.11 1.12
FY3/FY2 9.75 -2.11 1.12

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