Earnings Estimates

Analyst Ratings

Mean Recommendation:

3

Sell

Strong Buy

Available Measures

Reference Information -

Last Actual (FY0): 2.41
FY0 End Date: 10/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: 1.20
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: 30.81
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: 66.10
Yield (%): 2.14

Analyst Forecasts -

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 10/1/20 3.32 3.33 3.30 3.32 2 -- -- --
Annual 10/1/19 3.03 3.06 3.00 3.04 5 -- -- 0.04
Annual 10/1/18 2.69 2.69 2.68 2.69 5 -- -- -0.09
Quarterly 10/1/18 0.34 0.34 0.32 0.34 4 -- -- -0.30
Quarterly 1/1/19 0.52 0.53 0.52 0.52 3 -- -- -0.32
Quarterly 4/1/19 1.33 1.34 1.32 1.34 3 -- -- 0.25
Quarterly 7/1/19 0.75 0.77 0.73 0.76 3 -- -- 0.77
Long Term Growth 19.50 19.50 19.50 19.50 1 -- -- --

Actuals -

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 10/1/17 2.41 2.39 0.90
Annual 10/1/16 2.06 2.01 2.58
Annual 10/1/15 1.78 1.76 0.85
Quarterly 7/1/18 0.68 0.66 2.51
Quarterly 4/1/18 1.20 1.18 1.41
Quarterly 1/1/18 0.48 0.44 8.68
Quarterly 10/1/17 0.31 0.29 8.77

Reference Information - Book Value Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 5.72
FY0 End Date: 10/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Book Value Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 10/1/20 7.71 7.71 7.71 7.71 1 1 -- --
Annual 10/1/19 6.75 6.75 6.75 6.75 1 1 -- --
Annual 10/1/18 5.95 5.95 5.95 5.95 1 1 -- --
Quarterly 10/1/18 5.95 5.95 5.95 5.95 1 1 -- --
Quarterly 1/1/19 5.92 5.92 5.92 5.92 1 1 -- --
Quarterly 4/1/19 6.70 6.70 6.70 6.70 1 1 -- --
Quarterly 7/1/19 6.88 6.88 6.88 6.88 1 1 -- --

Actuals - Book Value Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 10/1/17 5.72 -- --
Annual 10/1/16 5.03 -- --
Annual 10/1/15 4.21 -- --
Quarterly 7/1/18 6.17 -- --
Quarterly 4/1/18 5.86 -- --
Quarterly 1/1/18 5.46 -- --
Quarterly 10/1/17 5.72 -- --

Reference Information - Cash Flow Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date:
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Cash Flow Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 10/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 10/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 10/1/18 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 10/1/18 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 1/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 4/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 7/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --

Actuals - Cash Flow Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --

Reference Information - Dividend Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 0.73
FY0 End Date: 10/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Dividend Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 10/1/20 1.20 1.20 1.20 1.20 1 -- -- --
Annual 10/1/19 1.20 1.20 1.20 1.20 1 -- -- --
Annual 10/1/18 1.20 1.20 1.20 1.20 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 10/1/18 0.30 0.30 0.30 0.30 1 -- -- --

Actuals - Dividend Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 10/1/17 0.73 -- --
Annual 10/1/16 0.60 -- --
Annual 10/1/15 0.50 -- --
Quarterly 7/1/18 0.20 -- --
Quarterly 4/1/18 0.20 -- --
Quarterly 1/1/18 0.20 -- --
Quarterly 10/1/17 0.20 -- --

Reference Information - EBIT

Last Actual (FY0): 355.11
FY0 End Date: 10/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - EBIT

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 10/1/20 452.40 464.80 440.00 452.40 2 -- -- --
Annual 10/1/19 417.40 423.20 408.00 421.00 3 -- -- 0.14
Annual 10/1/18 379.07 382.00 376.60 378.60 3 -- -- 0.07
Quarterly 10/1/18 49.17 52.00 47.00 48.50 3 -- -- 0.64
Quarterly 1/1/19 73.10 74.20 72.00 73.10 2 -- -- --
Quarterly 4/1/19 182.65 186.30 179.00 182.65 2 -- -- 0.03
Quarterly 7/1/19 101.75 104.50 99.00 101.75 2 -- -- 0.67

Actuals - EBIT

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 10/1/17 355.11 -- --
Annual 10/1/16 334.40 -- --
Annual 10/1/15 299.11 -- --
Quarterly 7/1/18 92.89 -- --
Quarterly 4/1/18 170.27 -- --
Quarterly 1/1/18 66.92 -- --
Quarterly 10/1/17 47.46 -- --

Reference Information - EBITDA

Last Actual (FY0): 420.10
FY0 End Date: 10/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - EBITDA

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 10/1/20 517.00 537.00 497.00 517.00 2 -- -- --
Annual 10/1/19 480.68 493.00 464.00 482.85 4 -- -- -0.82
Annual 10/1/18 437.03 440.00 435.90 436.10 4 -- -- --
Quarterly 10/1/18 65.30 68.00 63.90 64.00 3 -- -- -1.26
Quarterly 1/1/19 88.00 90.00 86.00 88.00 2 -- -- -2.42
Quarterly 4/1/19 197.55 202.10 193.00 197.55 2 -- -- -1.05
Quarterly 7/1/19 116.60 120.20 113.00 116.60 2 -- -- -1.26

Actuals - EBITDA

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 10/1/17 420.10 -- --
Annual 10/1/16 398.49 -- --
Annual 10/1/15 362.26 -- --
Quarterly 7/1/18 104.66 -- --
Quarterly 4/1/18 185.19 -- --
Quarterly 1/1/18 82.15 -- --
Quarterly 10/1/17 64.73 -- --

Reference Information - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 2.41
FY0 End Date: 10/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 10/1/20 3.32 3.33 3.30 3.32 2 -- -- --
Annual 10/1/19 3.04 3.06 3.00 3.04 4 -- -- 0.10
Annual 10/1/18 2.48 2.48 2.47 2.48 4 -- -- -0.10
Quarterly 10/1/18 0.34 0.34 0.32 0.34 4 -- -- -0.30
Quarterly 1/1/19 0.52 0.53 0.52 0.52 3 -- -- -0.32
Quarterly 4/1/19 1.33 1.34 1.32 1.34 3 -- -- 0.25
Quarterly 7/1/19 0.75 0.77 0.73 0.76 3 -- -- 0.77

Actuals - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 10/1/17 2.41 -- --
Annual 10/1/16 2.06 -- --
Annual 10/1/15 1.78 -- --
Quarterly 7/1/18 0.73 -- --
Quarterly 4/1/18 1.21 -- --
Quarterly 1/1/18 0.21 -- --
Quarterly 10/1/17 0.31 -- --

Reference Information - Net Debt

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date:
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Net Debt

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 10/1/19 2.20 2.20 2.20 2.20 1 -- -- --
Annual 10/1/18 61.00 61.00 61.00 61.00 1 -- -- --

Actuals - Net Debt

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --

Reference Information - Net Income

Last Actual (FY0): 267.72
FY0 End Date: 10/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Net Income

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 10/1/20 350.10 358.20 342.00 350.10 2 -- -- --
Annual 10/1/19 322.63 328.00 316.00 323.90 3 -- -- -0.21
Annual 10/1/18 291.25 292.00 290.50 291.25 2 -- -- --
Quarterly 10/1/18 35.97 36.90 35.00 36.00 3 -- -- -0.86
Quarterly 1/1/19 56.40 56.80 56.00 56.40 2 -- -- -0.53
Quarterly 4/1/19 140.90 142.80 139.00 140.90 2 -- -- -0.43
Quarterly 7/1/19 79.20 81.40 77.00 79.20 2 -- -- 0.42

Actuals - Net Income

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 10/1/17 267.72 -- --
Annual 10/1/16 230.99 -- --
Annual 10/1/15 201.59 -- --
Quarterly 7/1/18 73.48 -- --
Quarterly 4/1/18 130.25 -- --
Quarterly 1/1/18 52.14 -- --
Quarterly 10/1/17 33.85 -- --

Reference Information - Operating Profit

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date:
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Operating Profit

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 10/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 10/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 10/1/18 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 10/1/18 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 1/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 4/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 7/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --

Actuals - Operating Profit

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --

Reference Information - Return On Equity

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date:
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Return On Equity

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 10/1/20 44.10 44.10 44.10 44.10 1 -- 1 --
Annual 10/1/19 45.80 45.80 45.80 45.80 1 -- 1 --
Annual 10/1/18 46.70 46.70 46.70 46.70 1 -- 1 --
Quarterly 10/1/18 46.70 46.70 46.70 46.70 1 -- 1 --
Quarterly 1/1/19 47.80 47.80 47.80 47.80 1 -- 1 --
Quarterly 4/1/19 43.90 43.90 43.90 43.90 1 -- 1 --
Quarterly 7/1/19 43.50 43.50 43.50 43.50 1 -- 1 --

Actuals - Return On Equity

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 10/1/16 45.64 -- --
Quarterly 7/1/18 46.16 -- --
Quarterly 4/1/18 21.63 -- --
Quarterly 1/1/18 8.71 -- --
Quarterly 10/1/17 21.20 -- --

Reference Information - Sales

Last Actual (FY0): 2,505.18
FY0 End Date: 10/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Sales

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 10/1/20 2,863.00 2,886.00 2,840.00 2,863.00 2 -- -- --
Annual 10/1/19 2,729.82 2,747.50 2,712.00 2,729.90 4 -- -- -0.04
Annual 10/1/18 2,596.56 2,600.00 2,594.36 2,595.95 4 -- -- -0.07
Quarterly 10/1/18 516.90 520.00 515.00 516.31 4 -- -- -0.36
Quarterly 1/1/19 573.26 576.80 570.99 572.00 3 -- -- 0.02
Quarterly 4/1/19 927.61 933.94 921.00 927.90 3 -- -- -0.05
Quarterly 7/1/19 684.81 696.30 679.00 679.14 3 -- -- -0.06

Actuals - Sales

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 10/1/17 2,505.18 2,508.06 -0.11
Annual 10/1/16 2,392.18 2,401.45 -0.39
Annual 10/1/15 2,390.88 2,379.96 0.46
Quarterly 7/1/18 655.82 664.76 -1.34
Quarterly 4/1/18 875.28 901.26 -2.88
Quarterly 1/1/18 548.25 538.92 1.73
Quarterly 10/1/17 488.63 491.55 -0.60

P/E Ratios

P/E Ratios Company Industry Ind. Relative
FY0 20.83 10.93 1.91
FY1 18.48 19.35 0.95
FY2 16.88 18.60 0.91

EPS Growth Rates

Growth Rates Company Industry Ind. Relative
FY1/FY0 11.45 23.90 0.90
FY2/FY1 12.73 7.65 1.05
FY3/FY2 12.73 7.65 1.05

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